NCAA Basketball Betting: How to Make Money on the Mid Majors

The vast majority of people analyzing the college basketball betting board, or squares as we call them, will always gravitate towards the lines of the top 25 teams. The big names in college basketball such as Duke, UNC, Kentucky etc. Games between ranked teams and teams in the power conferences always attract the most action with bettors but experienced college basketball handicappers will often look for the soft lines involving mid major teams or teams that rarely play on national television. Listed below are the reasons why you too should start to bet less on the marquee matchup and more on the mid majors. Betting Action

As we eluded to above, the majority of the betting public doesn’t care about mid major teams until March Madness. This is a mistake. When you’re looking at the daily odds take notice of the amount of action that is bet on the two teams. Whenever the betting action is heavier on a college basketball game the more concerned you should be with wagering your money. You’ll often find that with a top 25 game between two top programs the line can move depending on the public loyalties and smart money. Often times the value will be bet out of a line due to the books adjusting to the betting action. When you bet mid major teams the lines move much slower due because sportsbooks aren’t as concerned with their exposure. This is your chance to find significant value and you can become far more profitable then betting to name brand teams. This is where real college basketball handicappers make their money.

Public Knowledge and Media Coverage

The average college basketball fan knows may know a lot about Kentucky, Duke or UNC or about a specific conference such as the ACC. This is no surprise considering that ESPN will air games featuring ACC or Big East teams on a weekly basis. It’s no shocker that Dick Vitale has a love affair with Duke and UNC and so does the majority of America. The public consumes vast amounts of information regarding the major conferences and very little amounts of information on the mid majors. But did you know that Rhode Island’s starting PG E.C. Matthews, who lead the team with 16.9 PPG in 2014-15 and was a key component to Rhode Island going 16-10 ATS last season, will miss 2015 due to a knee injury? Public knowledge is general knowledge so you’ll need to dig deep and have a depth of knowledge pertaining to all teams in college basketball. With over 300 teams it’s hard to know everything about every teams so pick out a mid major conference such as the WAC or the Colonial Athletic Conference and become familiar with the team and players. Follow them on social media and receive alerts and updates relating to these teams. Your goal is know more about the lesser known teams then the general public. This is where real college basketball handicappers make their money.

Talent and Experience

Every year there is a new team that emerges on the national spotlight during the NCAA Tournament. George Mason in 2006, VCU in 2011, North Florida in 2013 and the list is long and wide of teams that gain national attention by upsetting major conference teams during the tournament. Often times you’ll find that these teams have starters that are juniors and seniors and have played together for several years. While power conference teams with the top recruits are starting true freshmen and sophomores will very little experience playing when the game is tight, win or go home. A lot of the top programs have adopted a “one and done” recruiting mentality. When the NBA required players to attend 1 year of college before entering the draft, teams like Kentucky were recruiting magnets for the top talent. It took Coach K and Duke several years to adopt this mentality and it paid off last season when they won the National Championship. What happened when the season ended? Duke lost their 3 top recruited freshman who were drafted in the 1st round of the 2015 NBA Draft. This type of overhaul doesn’t happen to the mid major teams which is hugely beneficial when it comes time to play the big boys. There is more of a team cohesion and team first mentality which pays big dividends when wagering. A good tip to remember is to research the teams rosters and player history. Teams with starting point guards that have experience are great teams to back. Experienced players with game tested nerves are often times a smart wager.

The above represents just a fraction of what experienced college basketball handicappers and bettors will research before placing a wager. You have to remember that more times then not the value is with the mid major programs and not the media darlings. Sharp bettors focus on soft lines and they can be spotted with the lesser known teams. So the next time you’re researching college basketball don’t forget what we discussed and look for the value in the mid major basketball teams. I would love to have you join me and commit to winning some money this season. Luck!

Tips On How To Win Consistently While Betting Football

Even if you win 55% of your bets, you will come out consistently ahead. This is, however, easier said than done and involves more than just a little reading and checking the injury reports. If Paul the octopus picked every winner in the recent soccer World Cup, picking winning football teams should be just as easy, right? Wrong. If it were that easy, lots of people would be making money and the sports books would have to go out of business. If winning at football betting involves some knowledge, some strategy and, let us face it, a dash of luck, it is because the bookmakers set very tight lines for the games. However, if you keep the following tips in mind, it should improve your chances of winning.

Bet as early as you can. Many of the sports books post their lines as early as they can and some offshore books do this by Sunday afternoon for the following week’s games. If you find a game and odds that you like make sure that there are no serious injury problems for the team that you pick. Bookmakers are not perfect and can make mistakes in setting the line. Pounce early before heavy betting irons out the mistakes.

Concentrate on a few teams. Because knowledge is important, if you concentrate on a few teams, you can build up a substantial amount of knowledge which you can use in making your bets. Also limit your betting to just a few games every Sunday.

Avoid heavy favorites. The crowd loves favorites and will rush to bet on them. However, they are not good choices if you want to maintain your 55% average in winning bets. Even if you do win a few, the payouts will be small. The best strategy is to bet on short priced underdogs because, when you win, you generally make more than you have bet.

Use totals judiciously. Totals set early in the week are generally based on predictions of good weather. In late season games, rain or snow sometimes affects the scoring and a heavy wind almost always keeps scoring down. In these conditions, you would do well by betting the Under

Use yards per play ranking. One method of evaluating teams is to look at the offensive yards gained per play and the defensive yards given away per play. Teams that gain more than they lose end up winning more games. The statistics are easily available and you can calculate the difference with a positive difference being an advantage. The rule of thumb to calculate a points spread from the yardage differential is that every 0.15 yards is worth one point. A differential of 0.60 yards between the two teams is worth four points. As with all betting tools, use your other data and information to confirm your findings.

Don’t avoid teasers. There is a common perception that teasers are a rip-off and therefore best avoided. Under certain circumstances, an NFL teaser which is a two-game parlay bet can make sense.

Pay attention to the injury reports. Read the injury reports carefully to determine what difference it is going to make to the performance of your chosen team. Do not just look at key players because all the guys in the team have to perform at their peak.

In Football Betting – Are the Punters Betting Against the Bookmakers?

Most punters believe they are betting against the bookmakers. In fact, they are betting against their fellow bettors. This is represented by the fluctuations of the odds.

Why do odds change? Odds constantly change on an outcome in a particular game in response to:

* number of bets and

* amount of money staked

This is why you can see odds around 2.10 in the morning and get only 1.90 later in the day. For example, if $1000 is staked on Home win, the price for Away win will then go up to make the Away team more attractive for the punters to bet. Through the adjustment of the odds according to the market conditions, the bookmakers’ objective is to balance their books for that event.

Bookmakers do not gamble. They charge a certain percentage of margin for each bet and as long as their books are balanced, they win irrespective of the match outcome. The bookmakers set the odds according to demand and supply to balance the action from all sides and because of the margin, they always win.

In the event a bookmaker could not balance his books through odds fluctuations, he will then reduce his risk by transferring some amount of the bets wagered to other bookmakers that have odds better than his own. This is known in the industry as ‘farming out’. Thus, besides the punters, sometimes the bookmakers also trade on the betting exchanges to balance their books.

If the imbalance of money staked in an event is too great, for example, due to rumor of fixed matches, etc, the bookmakers may remove the event altogether.

So the punters are betting against each other. This means when punter Mr A wins in an event, his win is actually paid for by losing punter Mr B.

This cast the bookmaker in the role of a broker who takes commission on the market and funds the winners from the losing bets.

Sports Betting Odds – Know Your Odds of Winning Each Game!

Sports betting odds, the best odds out there of any gambling opportunity, guarantees you at least a 50/50 SHOT at winning every single game! Sports betting odds are definitely hands down the best way to make a stable income working from home. Now, if you are a hardcore sports fan, you may think you can win better than 50% of all your games, but if you don’t spend at least 8 hours a day analyzing all angles, trends, weather conditions, injuries, match ups, etc… that goes into choosing each and every winning game, than you should leave it up to the professionals.

There are plenty of professional handicappers out there that analyze sports betting odds at least 8 hours a day and can guarantee you a winning percentage of 80% or better. That is incredible and if they have a proven track record to back it up than you should definitely go with them. Most professional sports handicappers that are legit and have a proven track record won’t charge an arm and a leg for their picks. You can find a professional sports handicapper for a reasonable cost.

After you choose your sports handicapper, it is time to find a sports book that will give you a nice signup bonus. There are plenty of sports books out there that will give you at least a 100% first time sign up bonus such as bet Jamaica, Sportsbook, and even Bodog. These sportsbooks are legit and make depositing, wagering, and cashing out extremely easy. Almost all the sportsbooks today allow you to bet right in the comfort of your own home, on your phone if you’re on the go, or even allow you to call their 1-800 number and wager on the game that way. No matter where you are or what time it is, you can always find a way to bet on your next game when the sports betting odds are right!

Cashing out also has never been so easy! All you have to do is hit withdrawal and your funds will be immediately placed in your bank account within 3 business days! By being able to cash out so fast, you can minimize your losses and maximize your profits. If you have a professional sports handicapper that you trust, you can build a solid bankroll and eventually quit your 9-5 boring day job and become a professional sports bettor. There are plenty of people out there today that bet solely on sports as a means of income! You can be the next one. It is an incredible life to live and such an adrenaline rush, but you’re putting your money in the right hands with a proven track record of wins. Winning at least 80% of your games overtime is quite a feat. You can build a serious amount of income in as little as a few months depending on how much you’re willing to risk. Sports betting odds can be challenging, but finding someone that can beat the odds over 80% of the time is a MUST! I wish you the best of luck!

The Concept of Value in Sports Betting!

In sports betting you need to make sure that your bets (and trades) are good value in order to make a profit. If you do not do this you will still win bets but profits may be harder to achieve.

Let me explain this last statement. I actually lose more bets than I win – but the prices or odds at which I bet compensate for the losing plays.

If you bet all season long on the NY Yankees (US Baseball) or Arsenal FC (English Premiership) – to win each game – you will probably end up with a fairly good winning strike rate – but it is unlikely that you will make any money. The odds will be ‘short’ and you may do better to try and predict when these teams might falter – and bet against them at the over inflated prices being offered on the opposing teams. These opposing teams will most likely offer the value – as they are not the popular betting choice.

When we flip a coin, we know that the true chance of it turning up heads or tails is 50% or ‘evens’ (1/1).

As an example we set up a ‘coin flipping’ betting event. A neutral party begins to flip the coin. With each subsequent flip there is a definite preference for heads in the betting. The bookmaker or sportsbook takes this in his stride, he has already set the odds at 10/11 (-110 US) for either outcome which takes into account his commission. He knows that this trend is fairly usual as heads is often favored in this type of event. He decides, however, to balance his books a little by reducing his odds on heads to 5/6 and increasing tails to 1/1.

Heads is now an even shorter price and represents no value. Tails now stands at a slightly better price but still only represents the ‘true odds’ or likelihood of winning at 1/1 or 50% and so is not value.

The event continues and still the betting favors heads. Why? Well the ‘average bettor’ does not really understand ‘value’, he does not understand that heads might well be a bad bet or hold no value. He just enjoys betting and since ‘heads’ is winning – he wants to bet on heads.

The bookmaker balances his books again with a dramatic shortening of the odds for heads to 4/9 and a lengthening to 6/4 (+150 US), on tails.

At this point the professional bettor would step in and begin to place bets on tails. He knows that he has got value at 6/4 for an event where the ‘true odds’ of success are 1/1.